Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 1.789457 2.068049 2.374327 2.735844 3.150743 3.611865 4.163128
2025-03-30 1.438605 1.811638 2.256491 2.825409 3.533079 4.383843 5.483945
2025-04-06 1.158001 1.572571 2.103483 2.831721 3.803272 5.053453 6.783334
2025-04-13 0.901004 1.310179 1.869058 2.685619 3.845696 5.432079 7.763894
2025-04-20 0.779076 1.204607 1.820349 2.772181 4.202274 6.266297 9.466828
2025-04-27 0.697141 1.139928 1.815146 2.913695 4.649889 7.280567 11.560736
2025-05-04 0.614020 1.057551 1.767600 2.978788 4.984449 8.162425 13.566424
2025-05-11 0.539793 0.975948 1.706578 3.008974 5.261152 8.980604 15.568718
2025-05-18 0.459962 0.870932 1.589676 2.925514 5.332138 9.465026 17.072241
2025-05-25 0.385484 0.762810 1.450360 2.779982 5.270365 9.708236 18.178952
2025-06-01 0.342382 0.705928 1.394140 2.775034 5.456304 10.400547 20.159570
2025-06-08 0.298845 0.641103 1.313309 2.710833 5.519947 10.872605 21.782467
2025-06-15 0.283096 0.631324 1.340261 2.866010 6.037791 12.276862 25.395203
2025-06-22 0.262662 0.608513 1.337870 2.961685 6.450267 13.529006 28.871208
2025-06-29 0.236811 0.569669 1.296457 2.969470 6.681901 14.447934 31.787443
2025-07-06 0.201896 0.504453 1.188589 2.817115 6.549928 14.600389 33.116800
2025-07-13 0.189038 0.489016 1.189342 2.908212 6.966223 15.964133 37.225609
2025-07-20 0.181036 0.484099 1.213521 3.056735 7.532233 17.720495 42.418284
2025-07-27 0.168777 0.466416 1.204752 3.125094 7.919088 19.119553 46.964203
2025-08-03 0.155734 0.444522 1.182458 3.156817 8.221394 20.358225 51.282446
2025-08-10 0.138210 0.407604 1.116883 3.069421 8.216766 20.870449 53.917507
2025-08-17 0.119934 0.365417 1.031274 2.916950 8.024720 20.902432 55.366858
2025-08-24 0.109998 0.345491 1.002227 2.911784 8.216314 21.907476 59.388959